Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental de Maturín (Maturín)


	Monagas		Caracas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.98
	2.26	3.49	2.92
	2.24	3.56	2.98	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.21	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.4	3.05	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.58)	3.29 ↓ (3.49)	2.86 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monagas
40.2%

Draw
27.8%

Caracas
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caracas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caracas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Monagas - Caracas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monagas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Lima E. (C) 5. Colorado J. 4. Maitan M. 21. Peralta R. 8. Ramirez C. 7. Basante F. 18. Caraballo J. 14. Jaramillo F. 30. Sulbaran Y. 27. Farias E. 55. Renteria M.	12. Vegas J. (G) 30. Herrera A. 4. Quintero J. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 13. Yendis J. 8. Gudino I. 33. Correa W. 37. Vegas C. 10. Covea M. 22. Figueroa A. 17. Reinoso L.
Substitutes
38. Asibe S. 26. Castillo D. 20. Diaz H. 31. Fuentes D. 11. Gonzalez F. 24. Herrera S. 35. Natera S. 13. Paz J. 19. Perez Piamo Y. J. d. J. 1. Riveros T. (G) 77. Rodriguez L. 52. Vallenilla W.	2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 27. Gonzalez S. 36. Gudino D. 35. Lezama R. 23. Lira E. (G) 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 3. Pagano L. 7. Robert Hernandez 32. Uribe J. 5. Vegas M.
Coaches
Zambrano O.	Aristeguieta F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Basante F. 🟨,
28', Sulbaran Y. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Farias E. ⚽, Sulbaran Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Correa W. 🟨,
53', Basante F. ↓, Herrera S. ↑,
56', Figueroa A. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
56', Vegas C. ↓, Marquez M. ↑,
58', Caraballo J. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
59', Sulbaran Y. ↓, Paz J. ↑,
65', Correa W. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,
65', Reinoso L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
72', Farias E. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
72', Jaramillo F. ↓, Natera S. ↑,
75', Quintero J. 🟨,
76', Herrera A. ↓, Lezama R. ↑,
88', Uribe J. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Lezama R. (A),
90+7', Gonzalez S. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.1:1.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Monagas	11	4	2	5	12:13	-1	14
10	Caracas	11	2	5	4	9:14	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Caracas - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.05%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.03.26	Metropolitanos - Monagas	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Monagas - Academia Anzoátegui	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Monagas - Trujillanos	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Monagas	1:0 penalties ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.02.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Monagas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
17.03.26	Caracas - Trujillanos	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Caracas	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Caracas - Deportivo Táchira	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:0 penalties ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.02.26	Carabobo - Caracas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
28.09.25	Monagas - Caracas	2:2
18.04.25	Caracas - Monagas	1:4
20.09.24	Caracas - Monagas	1:2
24.03.24	Monagas - Caracas	1:1
Club Friendly
28.01.24	Monagas - Caracas	2:3
Venezuelan Primera Division
24.06.23	Caracas - Monagas	2:0
20.05.23	Monagas - Caracas	0:2

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