Match Info

Date: 8 April 2022, Friday


	Monagas		Zulia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	4.1	6.25	Watch
	1.36	4.05	7.25
	1.38	4.2	6.8
	1.38	3.89	6.9
	1.4	3.9	7.5
	1.45	4.15	7.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.69)	4.05 ↑ (3.4)	6.98 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monagas
64.7%

Draw
22.3%

Zulia
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26.9%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

26.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monagas's performance.

Zulia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zulia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monagas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zulia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Monagas - Zulia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monagas won 0.

Recent matches Monagas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zulia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Monagas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Monagas is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Monagas won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Monagas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.04.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Monagas	2:0 ✺
27.03.22	Monagas - Metropolitanos	2:1 ✺
20.03.22	Deportivo Lara - Monagas	0:0 ✺
11.03.22	Monagas - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:4 ✺
05.03.22	Carabobo - Monagas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTLW
- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.04.22	Aragua - Zulia	0:0 ✺
24.03.22	Zulia - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
19.03.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Zulia	1:1 ✺
11.03.22	Zulia - Metropolitanos	1:2 ✺
05.03.22	Deportivo Táchira - Zulia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
11.09.19	Monagas - Zulia	2:2
01.05.19	Zulia - Monagas	0:0
11.08.18	Monagas - Zulia	1:0
17.02.18	Zulia - Monagas	2:1
05.08.17	Zulia - Monagas	2:1
12.02.17	Monagas - Zulia	3:4
11.09.16	Monagas - Zulia	0:1

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