Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - ROUND 26

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)

Referee: Velasquez A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Gol TV


	Hermanos Colmenares		Monagas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.45	3	2
	3.52	3.33	2.05
	3.6	3.1	2
	3.58	3.38	2	Watch
	3.65	2.95	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.6)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	2.03 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermanos Colmenares
25.8%

Draw
29.1%

Monagas
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

29.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

30%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermanos Colmenares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hermanos Colmenares's form might have worsened.

Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monagas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermanos Colmenares than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hermanos Colmenares, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monagas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Hermanos Colmenares - Monagas Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Monagas will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monagas: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Teran L. (G) 18. Caricote Y. 4. Manzanilla J. 16. Deusa J. 13. Yendis J. 10. Rodriguez D. 31. Pernia M. 14. Colmenarez G. 17. Magallan C. 9. Mena Y. 19. Gonzalez F.	40. Chacin O. (G) 27. Anderson I. 14. Rodriguez C. 2. Ramirez R. 19. Gonzalez O. 16. Carrion E. 10. Navas E. 35. Natera S. 29. Linarez D. 7. Basante F. 21. Betancourth R.
Substitutes
3. Alvarado J. 25. Bolivar D. 2. Castro C. 30. Collazos J. 1. Curiel L. (G) 24. Osorio J. 7. Perez J. 6. Rodriguez D. 23. Ruiz M. 34. Urdaneta A.	9. Arroyo A. 32. Guevara D. . Guzmán L. 15. Iriarte R. 36. Mota Cartaya J. A. 20. Perozo G. 39. Rodriguez R.
Coaches
Vielma L.	Franco T.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).

Hermanos Colmenares is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Monagas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monagas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Monagas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hermanos Colmenares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hermanos Colmenares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Hermanos Colmenares
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.08.23	Angostura - Hermanos Colmenares	0:0 ✺
18.08.23	Carabobo - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
13.08.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	Universidad Central - Hermanos Colmenares	2:1 ✺
28.07.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLL
- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.08.23	Monagas - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Monagas - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Portuguesa Acarígua - Monagas	1:2 ✺
28.07.23	Monagas - Zamora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
04.03.23	Monagas - Hermanos Colmenares	2:1
19.08.22	Monagas - Hermanos Colmenares	3:1
02.04.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Monagas	2:0

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