Match Info

Date: 28 February 2020, Friday


	Monarcas Morelia		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.87	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	2.35	3.1	2.95	Watch
	2.34	3.16	2.8
	2.44	3.29	3.07
	2.38	3.3	2.88	Watch
	2.38	3.5	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.74)	3.25 ↓ (3.26)	2.86 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monarcas Morelia
38.6%

Draw
28.8%

Cruz Azul
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

20.9%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monarcas Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monarcas Morelia than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monarcas Morelia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruz Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Monarcas Morelia - Cruz Azul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monarcas Morelia
Mexican Liga MX
23.02.20	UNAM - Monarcas Morelia	1:2 ✺
Copa Mexico
18.02.20	Monarcas Morelia - Tijuana	0:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
14.02.20	Monarcas Morelia - Tijuana	1:1 ✺
Copa Mexico
11.02.20	Tijuana - Monarcas Morelia	3:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
06.02.20	Atlas - Monarcas Morelia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTLW
- Cruz Azul FC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
25.02.20	Cruz Azul - Portmore United	4:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
22.02.20	Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.02.20	Portmore United - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
15.02.20	Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
08.02.20	Cruz Azul - Pachuca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
19.10.19	Cruz Azul - Monarcas Morelia	2:3
Club Friendly
06.07.19	Cruz Azul - Monarcas Morelia	0:0
Mexican Liga MX
04.05.19	Cruz Azul - Monarcas Morelia	1:1
23.11.18	Monarcas Morelia - Cruz Azul	0:2
21.04.18	Cruz Azul - Monarcas Morelia	2:0
03.11.17	Monarcas Morelia - Cruz Azul	1:2
08.04.17	Cruz Azul - Monarcas Morelia	1:1

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