Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	CBS Sports Network, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	Cruz Azul		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.85	Watch
	2.22	3.45	2.98	Watch
	2.35	3.55	3.11
	2.09	3.76	3.26	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.25	3.65	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.58)	3.54 ↓ (4.35)	3.02 ↓ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruz Azul
42.2%

Draw
26.6%

Pachuca
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

21.8%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.6%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruz Azul's form might have worsened.

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pachuca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruz Azul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pachuca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Cruz Azul - Pachuca Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Pachuca will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Pachuca (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 50%). Pachuca (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gudino A. (G) 4. Ditta W. 17. Garcia A. 33. Piovi G. 22. Rodarte J. 16. Marquez J. 7. Ibanez N. 18. Romero L. 11. Ebere C. 19. Rodriguez C. (C) 20. Paradela J.	25. Moreno C. (C) 14. Sanchez C. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 12. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 8. Guzman V. 28. Montiel E. 29. Kenedy 16. Rivera C. 11. Idrissi O. 23. Rondon S.
Substitutes
3. Campos O. 170. Castro A. 209. Diaz J. 21. Fernandez G. 32. Jimenez C. 6. Lira E. 23. Mier K. (G) 10. Montano A. 194. Morales A. 193. Velazquez K.	187. Alvarez G. 26. Bautista A. 13. Berlanga J. 18. Dominguez A. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 21. Lopez R. 5. Pedraza P. 7. Quinones L. 188. Rodriguez S. 10. Valencia E.
Coaches
Larcamon N.	Solari E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Kenedy ⚽,
23', Piovi G. 🟨,
32', Rodarte J. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 1, Ebere C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, Kenedy ⚽, Idrissi O. (A),
61', Romero L. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
69', Kenedy ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
69', Rondon S. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
69', Montiel E. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
76', Idrissi O. ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
80', Ebere C. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
80', Marquez J. ↓, Lira E. ↑,
80', Rodriguez C. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
84', Rivera C. 🟥,
87', Guzman V. ↓, Pedraza P. ↑,
90', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
90', Pedraza P. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3.

Cruz Azul is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Pachuca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cruz Azul is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cruz Azul: Orozco J. (Ankle Injury) Palavecino A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury) Mozo A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Rotondi C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16
12	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	15:11	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Azul FC
Club Friendly
25.03.26	Cruz Azul - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
20.03.26	Mazatlan - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
17.03.26	Cruz Azul - Monterrey	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
14.03.26	UNAM - Cruz Azul	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
10.03.26	Monterrey - Cruz Azul	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTTW
- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
22.03.26	Pachuca - Toluca	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Atlético San Luis - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Pachuca - Puebla	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Pachuca - Necaxa	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Mazatlan - Pachuca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
13.09.25	Pachuca - Cruz Azul	0:1
08.02.25	Cruz Azul - Pachuca	2:1
28.09.24	Pachuca - Cruz Azul	2:4
13.01.24	Cruz Azul - Pachuca	0:1
23.08.23	Pachuca - Cruz Azul	1:0
01.04.23	Pachuca - Cruz Azul	0:2
09.07.22	Cruz Azul - Pachuca	1:2

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