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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul 39.9%
Draw 29.5%
Tigres UANL 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
31.8%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
30.2%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigres UANL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
60%
0%
Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5 - Tigres (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigres (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gudino A. (G) 4. Ditta W. 6. Lira E. (C) 33. Piovi G. 3. Campos O. 8. Palavecino A. 16. Marquez J. 29. Rotondi C. 20. Paradela J. 7. Ibanez N. 19. Rodriguez C.
1. Guzman N. (G) 14. Garza J. 28. Joaquim 4. Sanchez J. 32. Lorona V. 5. Araujo C. 8. Gorriaran F. (C) 16. Lainez D. 7. Correa A. 17. Aguirre R. 20. Flores M.
Substitutes
11. Ebere C. 17. Garcia A. 214. Levy M. 10. Montano A. 194. Morales A. 30. Ochoa E. (G) 22. Rodarte J. 18. Romero L. 200. Sanchez E. 239. Valdez D.
27. Angulo J. 11. Brunetta J. 10. Gignac A. 33. Guerrero R. 77. Herrera O. 19. Lopez I. 25. Rodriguez F. (G) 35. Rodriguez O. 30. Sanchez Guevara D. A. 6. Vigon J.
Coaches
Larcamon N.
Pizarro G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Lainez D. 🟨,
45+3', Ibanez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, Joaquim (Own goal),
60', 2 - 0, Ibanez N. ⚽,
61', Araujo C. ↓, Brunetta J. ↑,
61', Flores M. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
64', Rotondi C. 🟨,
69', Sanchez J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
69', Rodriguez C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
69', Campos O. ↓, Rodarte J. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Correa A. ⚽, Lorona V. (A),
76', Paradela J. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
77', Marquez J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
83', Lorona V. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90', Ibanez N. ↓, Levy M. ↑,
90+5', Joaquim 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 1.
Cruz Azul has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tigres is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cruz Azul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Cruz Azul will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cruz Azul: Mier K.
(Injury)
Orozco J.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Tigres: Farfan M.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.7:0.9).
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Gudino A. (G) 
Ditta W. 
Piovi G. 
Joaquim 
Araujo C. 
Ebere C. 
Gignac A. 
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