The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chivas Guadalajara 41.2%
Draw 28.7%
Cruz Azul 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
28.1%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
29%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cruz Azul will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Whalley O. (G) 37. Ledezma R. 2. Castillo J. 19. Campillo Del Campo D. 5. Gonzalez B. 24. Gomez M. 6. Govea O. 28. Gonzalez F. (C) 226. Sandoval S. 10. Alvarez E. 20. Sepulveda A.
23. Mier K. (G) 16. Marquez J. 4. Ditta W. 17. Garcia A. 33. Piovi G. 3. Campos O. 20. Paradela J. 8. Palavecino A. 19. Rodriguez C. (C) 29. Rotondi C. 11. Ebere C.
Substitutes
67. Aguayo S. 23. Aguirre D. 26. Camberos H. 225. Inda S. 201. Liceaga J. (G) 17. Marin R. 31. Padilla Y. 18. Perez J. 3. Sepulveda G. 4. Tapias M.
170. Castro A. 21. Fernandez G. 1. Gudino A. (G) 32. Jimenez C. 214. Levy M. 10. Montano A. 194. Morales A. 5. Orozco J. 22. Rodarte J. 18. Romero L.
Coaches
Milito G.
Huiqui J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Marquez J. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Govea O. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
31', Paradela J. 🟨,
42', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alvarez E. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
56', Ledezma R. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
56', Sandoval S. ↓, Aguirre D. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Palavecino A. ⚽, Rodriguez C. (A),
70', Gomez M. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
70', Castillo J. ↓, Aguayo S. ↑,
70', Rotondi C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
70', Ebere C. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
81', Campos O. 🟨,
82', Palavecino A. ↓, Orozco J. ↑,
82', Campos O. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
86', Aguayo S. 🟨,
90', Paradela J. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 2-2.
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 0.
In recent matches, Guadalajara has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cruz Azul is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Guadalajara will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Guadalajara: Alvarado R.
(International duty)
Gonzalez A.
(International duty)
Gutierrez B.
(International duty)
Rangel R.
(International duty)
Romo L.
(International duty)
There will not play in Cruz Azul: Lira E.
(International duty)
There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Ibanez N.
(Calf Injury)
Orozco J.
(Ankle Injury)
Paradela J.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Guadalajara Chivas
11
5
4
2
18:11
7
19
7
Cruz Azul
10
5
1
4
19:18
1
16
Last Results with these Odds
Chivas Guadalajara - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 44.24%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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Whalley O. (G) 
Ledezma R. 
Mier K. (G) 
Piovi G. 
Ebere C. 
Aguirre D. 
Fernandez G. 
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