Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Moncarapachense		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.37
	2.7	3.2	2.4
	2.71	3.23	2.54
	2.71	3.23	2.54
	2.73	3.25	2.45
	2.75	3.2	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.43)	3.2 ↓ (3.31)	2.45 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
33.9%

Draw
28.6%

SC Lusitânia
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

27.4%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moncarapachense's performance.

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SC Lusitânia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moncarapachense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SC Lusitânia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Moncarapachense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches SC Lusitânia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SC Lusitânia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
05.05.24	União de Santarém - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	SC Lusitânia - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.04.24	Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Moncarapachense - Barreirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
05.05.24	Setúbal - SC Lusitânia	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	SC Lusitânia - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
07.04.24	Alverca B - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	SC Lusitânia - Mortágua	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
21.04.24	SC Lusitânia - Moncarapachense	2:0

Moncarapachense - SC Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide