Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal)


	Setúbal		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.87	3.9
	2	3	3.75
	1.9	3.13	4.29
	1.88	3.31	4.07
	1.94	2.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.06)	3.05 ↓ (3.31)	4 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
47.3%

Draw
29.9%

SC Lusitânia
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

27.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Marouca J. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Setúbal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Setúbal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
28.04.24	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Setúbal - União de Santarém	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.04.24	Elvas - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Setúbal - Fabril do Barreiro	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Oriental - Setúbal	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLTT
- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
27.04.24	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	SC Lusitânia - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
07.04.24	Alverca B - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	SC Lusitânia - Mortágua	2:3 ✺
17.03.24	União de Santarém - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTLL

Setúbal - SC Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide