Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 7

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Progrès Niedercorn		Hostert

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.34	4.75	6.5
	1.41	4.68	6.71
	1.47	4.08	6.50	Watch
	1.3	5.1	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.29)	4.65 ↓ (5.11)	6.84 ↓ (8.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progrès Niedercorn
66.7%

Draw
19.8%

Hostert
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.1%

17.9%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progrès Niedercorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Hostert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Progrès Niedercorn - Hostert Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Progrès Niedercorn (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Progrès Niedercorn (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Progrès Niedercorn (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Progrès Niedercorn (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flauss S. (G) 8. Ahmetxhekaj D. 80. Avdusinovic K. 19. Bouche Y. 13. Cisse S. 23. Duarte C. 11. Gilgemann M. 26. Hend B. 71. Hoxha F. 10. Natami O. 27. Peugnet V. (C)	29. Gomes Y. (G) 20. Baiverlin C. 11. Bekkouche S. 22. Bernardy L. 25. Caufriez A. 31. Derbali R. 26. Leroux M. 8. Maquart T. (C) 19. Mendes E. 7. Rodrigues K. 21. Yans M.
Substitutes
73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 18. Boesen V. 17. Camara M. 9. Chambon H. 28. Guett A. 50. Ndenge K. (G) 7. Schmid J.	67. Ahmeti D. 37. Ales B. 28. Almeida Borges B. 80. Altun S. 17. Fernandes D. 97. Quinol K. 99. Seligson F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Bernardy L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Avdusinovic K. ⚽, Gilgemann M. (A),
61', Ahmetxhekaj D. ↓, Ahmetxjekaj A. ↑,
61', Bouche Y. ↓, Chambon H. ↑,
64', Mendes E. 🟨,
66', Bekkouche S. ↓, Altun S. ↑,
66', Rodrigues K. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
69', Fernandes D. 🟨,
70', Gilgemann M. ↓, Guett A. ↑,
71', Avdusinovic K. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Fernandes D. ⚽, Maquart T. (A),
77', Baiverlin C. ↓, Ahmeti D. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Chambon H. ⚽, Natami O. (A),
81', Caufriez A. ↓, Quinol K. ↑,
81', Mendes E. ↓, Almeida Borges B. ↑,
84', Avdusinovic K. ↓, Schmid J. ↑,
90+4', Maquart T. 🟨,
90+4', Derbali R. 🟨,
90+4', Cisse S. 🟨,
90+4', Natami O. 🟨,
90+5', Gomes Y. 🟨,
90+6', Maquart T. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Progrès Niedercorn is the obvious favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 40:11. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Progrès Niedercorn won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 2.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
28.09.25	Käerjéng 97 - Progrès Niedercorn	3:4 ✺
13.09.25	Progrès Niedercorn - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Pétange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Victoria Rosport	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW
- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
28.09.25	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Hostert - Differdange 03	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	UNA Strassen - Hostert	4:0 ✺
23.08.25	Hostert - Jeunesse Canach	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Pétange - Hostert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
04.05.25	Hostert - Progrès Niedercorn	1:3
24.11.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Hostert	3:2
29.03.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Hostert	6:0
09.10.22	Hostert - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0
06.03.22	Hostert - Progrès Niedercorn	0:4
17.09.21	Progrès Niedercorn - Hostert	3:1
08.05.21	Hostert - Progrès Niedercorn	0:3

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