Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 28

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Alphonse Theis (Hesperange)


	Swift Hesperange		Hostert

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.25	2.28
	2.87	3.32	2.33
	2.82	3.27	2.34	Watch
	2.75	3	2.3
	2.84	3.2	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.82)	3.21 ↓ (3.28)	2.31 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swift Hesperange
32.3%

Draw
28.3%

Hostert
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.1%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

27.5%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swift Hesperange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Hostert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swift Hesperange than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Swift Hesperange - Hostert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Kiambu C. (G) 89. Bochu N. 3. El Foukhari I. 24. Herbin G. 28. Kaloga M. 11. Morabet M. 12. Neves E. 29. Nguinda P. 14. Ninte Junior F. 26. Prempeh J. (C) 15. Savane H.	29. Gomes Y. (G) 30. Al Badaoui A. 20. Baiverlin C. 11. Bekkouche S. 22. Bernardy L. 31. Derbali R. (C) 14. Dieme E. H. 17. Fernandes D. 26. Leroux M. 15. Letievant A. 8. Maquart T.
Substitutes
8. Belliard H. 6. Bouazzati Y. 91. Bourtal K. 2. Cikotic E. 23. Cisse M. 5. Erkus E. 44. Pedroso H. (G)	67. Ahmeti D. 25. Caufriez A. 1. da Silva T. (G) 10. Meddour H. 19. Mendes E. 97. Quinol K. 21. Yans M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Al Badaoui A. ↓, Ahmeti D. ↑,
38', El Foukhari I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Bernardy L. 🟨,
63', Dieme E. H. ↓, Meddour H. ↑,
63', Ninte Junior F. ↓, Cikotic E. ↑,
63', Neves E. ↓, Belliard H. ↑,
68', Bernardy L. ↓, Quinol K. ↑,
68', Maquart T. ↓, Caufriez A. ↑,
69', Nguinda P. 🟨,
77', Herbin G. 🟨,
79', Nguinda P. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
79', Morabet M. ↓, Erkus E. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Fernandes D. ⚽, Caufriez A. (A),
90+1', Caufriez A. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange won 4.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Swift Hesperange won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hostert	8	3	2	3	14:11	3	11
16	Hesperange	8	0	0	8	2:30	-28	-12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg National Division
03.05.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Swift Hesperange	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Swift Hesperange - F91 Dudelange	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Jeunesse Esch - Swift Hesperange	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Swift Hesperange - Differdange 03	1:5 ✺
04.04.26	Jeunesse Canach - Swift Hesperange	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLTLW
- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
03.05.26	Hostert - Mamer	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Hostert	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Hostert - Atert Bissen	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	F91 Dudelange - Hostert	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Hostert - Käerjéng 97	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
30.11.25	Hostert - Swift Hesperange	1:1
09.02.25	Swift Hesperange - Hostert	3:0
12.02.23	Swift Hesperange - Hostert	5:1
14.08.22	Hostert - Swift Hesperange	0:4
15.05.22	Hostert - Swift Hesperange	1:3
12.12.21	Swift Hesperange - Hostert	0:2
Club Friendly
07.10.21	Hostert - Swift Hesperange	2:3

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