Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 27

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade John Grun (Mondorf-les-Bains)


	Mondorf-les-Bains		Swift Hesperange

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6
	1.43	4.15	5.9
	1.46	4.19	5.95
	1.45	4.38	5.88	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6
	1.42	4.15	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 (1.44)	4.11 ↓ (4.5)	6.02 ↑ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mondorf-les-Bains
62.9%

Draw
22%

Swift Hesperange
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

20.4%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

19.3%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mondorf-les-Bains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Swift Hesperange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mondorf-les-Bains than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swift Hesperange than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Mondorf les Bains - Swift Hesperange Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Machado J. (G) 23. Baal L. 8. Bourigeaud A. 33. Clausse L. 19. Godart Y. 27. Holter D. (C) 99. Majouga M. 70. Matias Y. 77. Ouedraogo J. M. 18. Stoltz L. 72. Tinelli L.	42. Kiambu C. (G) 89. Bochu N. 3. El Foukhari I. 24. Herbin G. 28. Kaloga M. 11. Morabet M. 12. Neves E. 29. Nguinda P. 14. Ninte Junior F. 26. Prempeh J. (C) 15. Savane H.
Substitutes
21. Agovic E. (G) 5. Benhemine A. 14. Daham S. 9. Fournier L. 11. Issaka C. 7. Lopes S. 31. Ubaldini A.	6. Bouazzati Y. 91. Bourtal K. 2. Cikotic E. 23. Cisse M. 22. Drame S. 5. Erkus E. 99. Lecle E.

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mondorf won 3.

Mondorf is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Swift Hesperange is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mondorf is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Mondorf will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mondorf won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mondorf won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mondorf	8	6	0	2	16:11	5	18
16	Hesperange	8	0	0	8	2:30	-28	-12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Mondorf-les-Bains
Luxembourg National Division
26.04.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Hostert	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	F91 Dudelange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Differdange 03 - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Jeunesse Canach	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTTWW
- Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg National Division
26.04.26	Swift Hesperange - F91 Dudelange	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Jeunesse Esch - Swift Hesperange	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Swift Hesperange - Differdange 03	1:5 ✺
04.04.26	Jeunesse Canach - Swift Hesperange	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Rodange - Swift Hesperange	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
03.12.25	Swift Hesperange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2
11.05.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Swift Hesperange	4:0
01.12.24	Swift Hesperange - Mondorf-les-Bains	Mondorf awarded
14.04.24	Swift Hesperange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2
22.10.23	Mondorf-les-Bains - Swift Hesperange	0:2
02.04.23	Mondorf-les-Bains - Swift Hesperange	0:4
16.10.22	Swift Hesperange - Mondorf-les-Bains	4:2

Mondorf-les-Bains - Swift Hesperange: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide