Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 38

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Monopoli		Gelbison Cilento

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.2	4.5
	1.72	3.2	4.5
	1.72	3.27	4.85
	1.73	3.1	4.75
	1.71	3.42	4.8	Watch
	1.64	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)	3.27 ↓ (3.39)	4.73 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monopoli
53.2%

Draw
27.7%

Gelbison Cilento
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26.9%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

22.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monopoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Gelbison Cilento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monopoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gelbison Cilento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Monopoli - Gelbison Cilento Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Monopoli will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gelbison Cilento will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Monopoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gelbison Cilento has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Monopoli is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Monopoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
16.04.23	Pescara - Monopoli	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Potenza - Monopoli	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Monopoli - Latina	3:1 ✺
26.03.23	Virtus Francavilla - Monopoli	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Monopoli - Giugliano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLL
- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie C Group C
16.04.23	Gelbison Cilento - Crotone	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Latina - Gelbison Cilento	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Gelbison Cilento - Viterbese	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Picerno - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Gelbison Cilento - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
17.12.22	Gelbison Cilento - Monopoli	1:5

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