Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Play Out - Final

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Virtus Francavilla		Monopoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.55	3.1	2.75
	2.61	2.9	2.98
	2.46	2.97	2.75	Watch
	2.49	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 (2.52)	3 ↓ (3.19)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
36.2%

Draw
30.4%

Monopoli
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.9%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Branduani P. (G) 7. Biondi K. 8. Di Marco T. 15. Dutu E. 6. Gasbarro A. 50. Ingrosso G. 19. Izzillo N. 27. Laaribi M. 30. Macca F. 5. Monteagudo J. C. 11. Neglia S.	12. Dalmasso J. (G) 4. Angileri A. 95. Barlocco L. 20. Bizzotto N. 10. Borello G. 19. De Risio C. 6. Fornasier M. 39. Grandolfo F. 78. Iaccarino G. 7. Sosa F. 14. Viteritti O. (C)
Substitutes
40. Accardi A. 70. Cardoselli C. 17. Carella F. 1. Carretta F. (G) 18. Contini G. 3. De Marino D. 99. Garofalo V. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 31. Magnati F. 14. Molnar I. 23. Nicoli S. 29. Vapore A.	11. Ardizzone F. 29. Arioli A. 2. Berman T. 33. Bulevardi D. 17. Cristallo C. 8. De Paoli A. 16. Ferrini M. 55. Gelmi L. (G) 27. Hamlili Z. 77. Peschetola L. 23. Simone G. 9. Tommasini C. 80. Vitale M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Laaribi M. 🟨,
22', Sosa F. 🟨,
30', Angileri A. 🟨,
31', Borello G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Izzillo N. ↓, Garofalo V. ↑,
49', Macca F. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Sosa F. ⚽,
66', Laaribi M. ↓, Risolo A. ↑,
66', Ingrosso G. ↓, Contini G. ↑,
69', Sosa F. ↓, Ardizzone F. ↑,
72', Gasbarro A. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Monteagudo J. C. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Francavilla won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.24	Potenza - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Virtus Francavilla - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Virtus Francavilla - Catania	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Città di Brindisi - Virtus Francavilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTLWL
- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.24	Monopoli - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Crotone - Monopoli	3:1 ✺
14.04.24	Monopoli - Taranto	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Giugliano - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Monopoli - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
26.02.24	Virtus Francavilla - Monopoli	0:0
20.10.23	Monopoli - Virtus Francavilla	3:0
26.03.23	Virtus Francavilla - Monopoli	2:0
27.11.22	Monopoli - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
04.05.22	Monopoli - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
30.01.22	Monopoli - Virtus Francavilla	0:0
26.09.21	Virtus Francavilla - Monopoli	3:1

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