Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 34

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Picerno		Gelbison Cilento

	1	X	2
	1.8	2.9	4.5
	1.76	2.82	4.6
	1.8	2.9	4.8
	1.8	3.15	4.7	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)	2.99 ↓ (3.12)	4.64 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
50.5%

Draw
30.1%

Gelbison Cilento
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

29.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

28%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Gelbison Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	14.8%	59.3%

Picerno - Gelbison Cilento Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Picerno will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Gelbison Cilento will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gelbison Cilento: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Picerno is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gelbison Cilento is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Picerno is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Picerno to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Picerno won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Picerno won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
19.03.23	Avellino - Picerno	0:2 ✺
15.03.23	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Taranto - Picerno	0:1 ✺
04.03.23	Picerno - Crotone	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Viterbese - Picerno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWTT
- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie C Group C
19.03.23	Gelbison Cilento - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
15.03.23	Turris - Gelbison Cilento	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Gelbison Cilento - Pescara	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Fidelis Andria - Gelbison Cilento	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Gelbison Cilento - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
27.11.22	Gelbison Cilento - Picerno	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
20.03.19	Picerno - Gelbison Cilento	2:1
14.11.18	Gelbison Cilento - Picerno	1:1
26.02.17	Gelbison Cilento - Picerno	0:1
23.10.16	Picerno - Gelbison Cilento	3:4

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