Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 20Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
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Montañas del Pas |
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Castro |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
6.7 |
4.05 |
1.4 |
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 |
6.07 |
4.17 |
1.44 |
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 |
6.52 |
4.23 |
1.43 |
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 |
7 |
3.8 |
1.4 |
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 |
7.41 |
4.15 |
1.38 |
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 |
6.33 |
4 |
1.44 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.67 ↑
(4.87) |
4.07 ↑
(3.67) |
1.42 ↓
(1.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montañas del Pas
13.6% | Draw
22.3% | Castro
64.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montañas del Pas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castro's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañas del Pas than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Montañas del Pas - Castro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 61', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).Both teams are currently in poor form.Castro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Castro is seen as the favorite. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Castro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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