Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Montañeses		Chapulineros de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.57	3.68	Watch
	1.72	3.71	4.33
	1.8	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)	4 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montañeses
51.2%

Draw
25.9%

Chapulineros de Oaxaca
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

26.6%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañeses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Chapulineros de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañeses than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapulineros de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Montañeses - Chapulineros de Oaxaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 11)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chapulineros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Montañeses is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montañeses FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
27.10.25	Racing de Veracruz - Montañeses	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Montañeses - Tapachula Soconusco	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Deportiva Venados - Montañeses	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Montañeses - Neza	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Dragones Toluca - Montañeses	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW
- Chapulineros de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.10.25	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Inter Playa Del Carmen	3:1 ✺
17.10.25	Héroes de Zaci - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Celaya	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Racing de Veracruz - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Tapachula Soconusco	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTTLL

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