Match Info
Date: 6 March 2021, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Montalegre |
|
Maria da Fonte |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.75 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.15 |
2.85 |
|
 |
2.34 |
2.75 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.46 |
2.91 |
3.34 |
|
 |
2.37 |
3.06 |
2.91 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.24) |
2.92 ↓
(3.3) |
3.08 ↑
(2.92) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montalegre
39% | Draw
31.3% | Maria da Fonte
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montalegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montalegre that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (+16%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria da Fonte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Recent matches Montalegre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Maria da Fonte is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Montalegre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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