Match Info

Date: 6 March 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Montalegre		Maria da Fonte

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.75	3.2
	2.2	3.15	2.85
	2.34	2.75	3.1
	2.46	2.91	3.34
	2.37	3.06	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.24)	2.92 ↓ (3.3)	3.08 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montalegre
39%

Draw
31.3%

Maria da Fonte
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.8%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

19.1%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montalegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montalegre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria da Fonte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Montalegre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maria da Fonte is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Montalegre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDC Montalegre
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.02.21	Vilaverdense - Montalegre	2:2 ✺
20.02.21	Montalegre - Bragança	0:0 ✺
07.02.21	Merelinense - Montalegre	1:0 ✺
30.01.21	Montalegre - Cerveira	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	Montalegre - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLTW
- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.02.21	Maria da Fonte - Cerveira	1:0 ✺
20.02.21	Mirandela - Maria da Fonte	2:1 ✺
16.02.21	Vidago - Maria da Fonte	1:1 ✺
13.02.21	Maria da Fonte - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	1:0 ✺
17.01.21	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.12.20	Maria da Fonte - Montalegre	2:2

Montalegre - Maria da Fonte

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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