Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 18

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vilaverdense		Montalegre

	1	X	2
	1.49	4	5.25
	1.55	3.75	5.25
	1.53	4.47	5.77
	1.48	4.15	5.5	Watch
	1.51	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	4.09 ↑ (3.94)	5.39 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
60.6%

Draw
22.4%

Montalegre
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

23.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

23.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Montalegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Vilaverdense - Montalegre Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vilaverdense will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Montalegre will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Montalegre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vilaverdense is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilaverdense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 3
05.02.23	Sanjoanense - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Vilaverdense - Felgueiras	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	Anadia - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Vilaverdense - Fafe	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.23	Vilaverdense - BSAD	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLTWL
- CDC Montalegre
Portuguese Liga 3
04.02.23	Montalegre - Varzim	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	São João de Ver - Montalegre	2:0 ✺
21.01.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Montalegre	2:2 ✺
13.01.23	Montalegre - Sanjoanense	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Felgueiras - Montalegre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
29.10.22	Montalegre - Vilaverdense	1:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.02.21	Vilaverdense - Montalegre	2:2
24.02.19	Vilaverdense - Montalegre	1:3
18.03.18	Vilaverdense - Montalegre	1:0

Vilaverdense - Montalegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide