Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Montañeros		Arosa

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.2	2.28
	3.12	3.27	2.18
	24.27	4.85	1.20	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	2.89	3.57	2.26
	2.6	2.95	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.43 ↑ (2.6)	3.52 ↑ (2.95)	2.05 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montañeros
16.8%

Draw
30.7%

Arosa
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.9%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

27.5%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañeros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montañeros's form might have worsened.

Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañeros than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montañeros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montañeros - Arosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Rivera J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Montañeros has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arosa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Montañeros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montañeros won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Montaneros	5	1	0	4	7:11	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Coruña Montañeros
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.03.26	Atlético Arteixo - Montañeros	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Montañeros - Noia	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	RC Villalbes - Montañeros	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Alondras - Montañeros	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Montañeros - Lugo B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTLT
- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.03.26	Arosa - Viveiro	4:1 ✺
15.03.26	Arosa - Atlético Arteixo	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Noia - Arosa	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Barbadás - Arosa	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Arosa - Alondras	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Arosa - Montañeros	1:1

Upcoming Matches