Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 25

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Montañeses		Celaya

	1	X	2
	2.49	3.3	2.63
	2.61	3.34	2.47	Watch
	2.45	3	2.6
	2.43	3.58	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.6)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	2.57 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montañeses
36.7%

Draw
27.7%

Celaya
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

26%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

26.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañeses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañeses than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Montañeses - Celaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 🟥,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
55', 🟥,
57', 2 - 0, ⚽,
59', 3 - 0, ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Celaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montañeses won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montañeses FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.03.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Montañeses	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Montañeses - Racing de Veracruz	1:3 ✺
09.03.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Montañeses	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Montañeses - Deportiva Venados	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Neza - Montañeses	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLTW
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.03.26	Celaya - Inter Playa Del Carmen	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Héroes de Zaci - Celaya	3:2 ✺
02.03.26	Celaya - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Racing de Veracruz - Celaya	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Celaya - Tapachula Soconusco	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.11.25	Celaya - Montañeses	1:0

Montañeses - Celaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide