Match Info

J2 League - Round 8

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Montedio Yamagata		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.28	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.33	3.03	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.9
	2.33	3.6	2.77	Watch
	2.28	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.48)	3.39 ↓ (3.55)	2.88 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
40.7%

Draw
27.3%

Júbilo Iwata
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

25.6%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.7%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Júbilo Iwata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Júbilo Iwata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Iwata will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Terakado R. (G) 15. Kawai A. 4. Nishimura K. 5. Abe T. 13. Nodake H. 7. Takae L. 21. Tanaka W. 88. Doi S. 10. Kida R. 90. Disaro A. S. 25. Kokubu S.	13. Abe K. (G) 50. Uemura H. 5. Ezaki T. 22. Ueebisu K. 4. Matsubara K. 25. Nakamura S. 7. Uehara R. 39. Sumi K. 23. Croux J. 11. Matheus Peixoto 71. Masui K.
Substitutes
11. Fujimoto Y. 16. Hasegawa K. (G) 55. Horikane S. 42. Issaka Z. 17. Kato C. 3. Kumamoto Y. 14. Sakamoto K. 9. Takahashi J. 6. Yamada T.	6. Kaneko D. 33. Kawai T. 2. Kawasaki I. 1. Kawashima E. (G) 16. Leo Gomes 26. Nishikubo S. 36. Ricardo Graca 20. Sato R. 8. Tameda H.
Coaches
Watanabe S.	Hutchinson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Abe T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Sumi K. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
64', Disaro A. S. ↓, Fujimoto Y. ↑,
64', Kida R. ↓, Issaka Z. ↑,
72', Doi S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
72', Kokubu S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
73', Uemura H. ↓, Tameda H. ↑,
73', Masui K. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
73', Uehara R. ↓, Kaneko D. ↑,
87', Matheus Peixoto ↓, Kawai T. ↑,
89', Tanaka W. ↓, Kato C. ↑,
90', Kawai T. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Montedio Yamagata won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
30.03.25	Imabari - Montedio Yamagata	2:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Kagoshima United - Montedio Yamagata	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
09.03.25	Montedio Yamagata - Blaublitz Akita	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTWW
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
30.03.25	Júbilo Iwata - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Osaka - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Vegalta Sendai - Júbilo Iwata	2:3 ✺
15.03.25	Júbilo Iwata - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Kataller Toyama - Júbilo Iwata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
09.07.23	Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata	1:3
04.03.23	Júbilo Iwata - Montedio Yamagata	2:1
17.07.21	Júbilo Iwata - Montedio Yamagata	1:2
25.04.21	Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
27.09.20	Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
23.02.20	Júbilo Iwata - Montedio Yamagata	2:0
29.11.14	Júbilo Iwata - Montedio Yamagata	1:2

Upcoming Matches