The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montehermoso 24.6%
Draw 29.7%
Santa Amalia 45.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
28.6%
42.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
27.9%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Santa Amalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montehermoso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Montehermoso - Santa Amalia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Quijada C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
90+12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+12', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+12', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).
Montehermoso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Santa Amalia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Montehermoso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Santa Amalia has had a series of home games.
Santa Amalia could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montehermoso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.