Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 19Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday
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Badajoz |
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Santa Amalia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.32 |
4.35 |
8.1 |
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1.3 |
4.8 |
9.86 |
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1.40 |
4.22 |
7.85 |
 Watch |
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1.3 |
4.4 |
9.5 |
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1.28 |
4.45 |
10.4 |
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1.28 |
4.5 |
10 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.52) |
4.45 ↑
(3.58) |
9.29 ↑
(5.96) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Badajoz
69.6% | Draw
20.5% | Santa Amalia
9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Amalia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)Badajoz - Santa Amalia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 64', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 69', 🟥,
- 75', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 85', 🟥,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 7)Badajoz is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).Santa Amalia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). In this match, Badajoz is seen as the favorite.We predict that Badajoz will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).Including home match between the teams, Badajoz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Santa Amalia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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