The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Amalia 18.9%
Draw 32.2%
Llerenense 48.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
30.1%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
31%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Amalia's form might have worsened.
Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llerenense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+23.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Amalia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-21.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Llerenense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santa Amalia - Llerenense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Benjumea E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).
Santa Amalia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Llerenense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Santa Amalia could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Amalia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Santa Amalia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Watch
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