Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Akron (Zapopan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	NBC Universo, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo
World	OneFootball TV


	Chivas Guadalajara		Juárez

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	8.00	Watch
	1.39	4.80	7.00
	1.40	4.75	6.75	Watch
	1.41	5.26	7.81
	1.44	4.93	6.14
	1.37	5.20	7.55
	1.42	4.83	7.75	Watch
	1.37	5.00	7.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.64)	4.94 ↑ (4.02)	7.28 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chivas Guadalajara
67.9%

Draw
19.1%

Juárez
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

23.1%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chivas Guadalajara's performance.

Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juárez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rangel R. (G) 23. Aguirre D. 7. Romo L. (C) 2. Castillo J. 28. Gonzalez F. 37. Ledezma R. 11. Gutierrez B. 33. Carrillo J. 5. Gonzalez B. 25. Alvarado R. 34. Gonzalez A.	1. Jurado S. (C) 20. Aquino J. 2. Sepulveda G. 3. Murillo J. 23. Ortega H. 4. Mayorga A. 21. Ricardinho 5. Garcia D. 8. Guilherme Castilho 11. Rodriguez J. 19. Estupinan O.
Substitutes
67. Aguayo S. 10. Alvarez E. 3. Campillo Del Campo D. 19. Castaneda K. 56. Chavez A. 24. Gomez M. 17. Marin R. 18. Perez J. 16. Rey L. 13. Whalley O. (G)	29. Ayon E. 201. Carmona J. 17. Dupuy L. 7. Fulgencio R. 25. Godinez S. 198. Juarez Ricardo 6. Monchu 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 27. Ruiz G. (G) 10. Torres Ramirez I. J. M.
Coaches
Milito G.	Caixinha P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ortega H. 🟨,
61', Carrillo J. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
66', Aquino J. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
66', Ricardinho ↓, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↑,
66', Ortega H. ↓, Monchu ↑,
70', Estupinan O. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
74', Ledezma R. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
74', Gutierrez B. ↓, Castaneda K. ↑,
74', Castillo J. ↓, Campillo Del Campo D. ↑,
82', Sepulveda G. ↓, Juarez Ricardo ↑,
87', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 🟨,
90', Marin R. 🟨,
90+3', Gonzalez B. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 0, Alvarado R. ⚽, Marin R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 3.

Juárez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guadalajara is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Guadalajara: Sepulveda A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Guadalajara: Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Juárez: Romero B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:17. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guadalajara Chivas	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19
18	Juarez	11	1	1	9	8:26	-18	4

Last Results with these Odds

Chivas Guadalajara - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.63%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX
18.07.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Correcaminos UAT - Chivas Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
16.05.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLTW
- FC Juárez
Mexican Liga MX
17.07.26	Juárez - Puebla	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.26	Colorado Rapids - Juárez	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
25.04.26	Juárez - Atlético San Luis	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	UNAM - Juárez	4:2 ✺
18.04.26	Club León - Juárez	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
13.01.26	Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara	0:1
16.08.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez	1:2
15.03.25	Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1
31.08.24	Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez	5:0
10.02.24	Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez	2:1
18.08.23	Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1
28.01.23	Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2

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