Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)

Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	FOX One
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, SportsEngine Play


	Necaxa		Monterrey

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.50	2.05	Watch
	3.20	3.50	2.10
	3.15	3.70	2.05	Watch
	3.36	3.81	2.15
	3.22	3.64	2.14	Watch
	3.30	3.70	2.10
	2.86	3.54	2.27	Watch
	3.15	3.55	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.63)	3.62 ↓ (3.64)	2.12 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Necaxa
29.5%

Draw
26%

Monterrey
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Necaxa's form might have worsened.

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monterrey's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	27.3%	63.6%

Necaxa - Monterrey Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Monterrey will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monterrey: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jimenez L. (G) 33. Martinez R. 20. Mendez F. 3. Oliveros A. (C) 30. Monreal R. 6. Leyva D. 8. Faravelli L. 88. Vargas C. 11. Torres Patino J. P. 10. Ruiz J. 9. Carranza J.	22. Cardenas L. (G) 2. Chavez R. 33. Medina S. 13. Salcedo C. 3. Arteaga G. 8. Torres O. 30. Rodriguez J. 10. Orellano L. 17. Corona J. (C) 7. Ocampos L. 9. Rossi D.
Substitutes
1. Andrade C. (G) 17. Cortez R. 21. Espindola M. 2. Martinez E. 5. Naves 16. Pedraza P. 27. Pedroza M. 99. Rodriguez E. 90. Valencia J. 14. Zaleta M.	19. Aceves A. 5. Ambriz F. 99. Cuypers H. 32. Djurdjevic U. 11. Fimbres I. 4. Guzman V. 25. Pineda O. 31. Ramos C. (G) 194. Reyes C. 21. Reyes L.
Coaches
Varini M.	Almeyda M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Monreal R. 🟨,
20', Medina S. 🟥,
27', Faravelli L. 🟨,
32', Chavez R. 🟨,
36', Salcedo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Monreal R. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
46', Corona J. ↓, Pineda O. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Carranza J. ⚽, Mendez F. (A),
60', Rossi D. ↓, Cuypers H. ↑,
60', Arteaga G. ↓, Aceves A. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Ocampos L. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Pedroza M. ↑,
77', Orellano L. ↓, Reyes L. ↑,
79', Varini M. 🟨,
87', Faravelli L. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
87', Vargas C. ↓, Zaleta M. ↑,
90', Ruiz J. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Valencia J. ⚽, Zaleta M. (A),
90+3', Rodriguez J. ↓, Djurdjevic U. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 0.

Monterrey might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	16:14	2	13
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	12:20	-8	8

Last Results with these Odds

Monterrey - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.11%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Necaxa
Mexican Liga MX
16.07.26	Necaxa - Atlante	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Cruz Azul - Necaxa	4:1 ✺
22.04.26	Necaxa - Chivas Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Necaxa - Tigres UANL	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Querétaro - Necaxa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTTL
- CF Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX
18.07.26	Monterrey - Santos Laguna	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
21.06.26	Cancún - Monterrey	1:4 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.04.26	Santos Laguna - Monterrey	3:0 ✺
21.04.26	Monterrey - Puebla	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Monterrey - Pachuca	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
13.01.26	Necaxa - Monterrey	0:2
23.08.25	Monterrey - Necaxa	3:0
01.02.25	Monterrey - Necaxa	1:0
17.07.24	Necaxa - Monterrey	0:1
28.04.24	Necaxa - Monterrey	2:5
31.10.23	Monterrey - Necaxa	3:0
18.02.23	Monterrey - Necaxa	2:1

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