Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri (Montevarchi)


	Montevarchi		Cesena

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	1.98
	3.05	2.9	2.28
	3.45	3	2.02
	3.8	3.09	2.01
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.68	3.08	2.01	Watch
	3.55	3.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.75)	3.05 ↑ (2.82)	2.06 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevarchi
26.2%

Draw
29.8%

Cesena
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

31.4%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

31%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montevarchi's form might have worsened.

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cesena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montevarchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cesena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Montevarchi - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Montevarchi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cesena will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Montevarchi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cesena in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cesena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Montevarchi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Montevarchi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
23.10.22	Lucchese - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
19.10.22	Montevarchi - Virtus Entella	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Fiorenzuola - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Montevarchi - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Montevarchi - Nuova Monterosi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWW
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
23.10.22	Cesena - Fiorenzuola	2:1 ✺
19.10.22	Reggiana - Cesena	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Cesena - Imolese	4:0 ✺
10.10.22	Siena - Cesena	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Cesena - Fermana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.04.22	Montevarchi - Cesena	4:0
05.12.21	Cesena - Montevarchi	3:1

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