The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reggiana 26.1%
Draw 31%
Cesena 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.2%
29.8%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
28.4%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
54.5%
18.2%
Reggiana - Cesena Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Cesena (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Reggiana (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cesena (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Motta E. (G) 2. Papetti A. 4. Rozzio P. (C) 14. Quaranta D. 23. Rover M. 8. Charlys 16. Reinhart T. 3. Bozzolan A. 80. Girma N. 90. Portanova M. 11. Gondo C.
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ciervo R. 25. Bisoli D. 4. Castagnetti M. 14. Berti T. 99. Frabotta G. 7. Blesa J. 9. Shpendi C.
Substitutes
57. Belardinelli L. 10. Bozhanaj K. 91. Conte O. 93. Lambourde M. 17. Libutti L. 44. Mendicino L. 9. Novakovich A. 31. Sampirisi M. 12. Seculin A. (G) 15. Suarez M. 33. Tripaldelli A. 6. Vallarelli F.
16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 29. Balde S. 10. Bastoni S. 13. Celia R. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 70. Francesconi M. 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 32. Olivieri M. 26. Piacentini M. 1. Siano A. (G)
Coaches
Dionigi D.
Mignani M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Ciofi A. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Portanova M. ⚽, Charlys (A),
30', Charlys 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Shpendi C. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Zaro G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Bisoli D. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
57', Ciofi A. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
59', Charlys ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Shpendi C. ⚽, Castagnetti M. (A),
74', Girma N. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
79', Rover M. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
79', Papetti A. ↓, Tripaldelli A. ↑,
79', Gondo C. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
80', Frabotta G. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
80', Berti T. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
83', Shpendi C. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
90', Rozzio P. 🟨,
90+1', Magni V. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 2.
Reggiana has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cesena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cesena might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Reggiana: Bertagnoli M.
(Inactive)
Bonetti S.
(Inactive)
Magnani G.
(Leg Injury)
Urso O.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Reggiana: Marras M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Cesena: Tosku F.
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).
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Motta E. (G) 
Charlys 
Reinhart T. 
Girma N. 
Gondo C. 
Klinsmann J. (G) 
Blesa J. 
Shpendi C. 
Conte O. 
Lambourde M. 
Suarez M. 
Amoran P. 
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