Match Info

Date: 10 October 2022, Monday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Siena)


	Siena		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.25	2.75	3.25
	2.2	2.75	3.25
	2.33	2.77	3.48
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.26	3.04	3.1	Watch
	2.26	2.95	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.97)	2.83 ↓ (3.05)	3.25 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena
40%

Draw
32%

Cesena
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

30%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28.3%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Siena's form might have worsened.

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Siena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cesena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Siena - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Siena will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Cesena will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 11).

Siena is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cesena is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Cesena have a series of home games.

Siena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Siena won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Siena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Siena - Pontedera	0:1 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.22	Pontedera - Siena	0:2 ✺
24.09.22	Olbia - Siena	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Siena - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Imolese - Siena	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTWW
- AC Cesena
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Cesena - Fermana	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.22	Cesena - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
24.09.22	Cesena - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Fermana - Cesena	2:0 ✺
14.09.22	Cesena - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.04.22	Siena - Cesena	0:0
19.12.21	Cesena - Siena	1:0
Italian Serie B
15.03.14	Siena - Cesena	1:0
05.10.13	Cesena - Siena	1:1
Italian Serie A
11.03.12	Cesena - Siena	0:2

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