Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri (Montevarchi)


	Montevarchi		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.15
	3.1	2.95	2.23
	3.2	2.85	2.13
	3.46	3.11	2.14
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.28	3.22	2.09	Watch
	3.35	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.7)	3.03 ↑ (2.95)	2.16 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevarchi
28.1%

Draw
29.9%

Carrarese
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

31%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

30.8%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montevarchi's form might have worsened.

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carrarese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montevarchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrarese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Montevarchi - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Montevarchi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Carrarese will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Carrarese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Montevarchi won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Montevarchi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevarchi Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Montevarchi - Nuova Monterosi	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.22	Ancona - Montevarchi	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	Montevarchi - Fermana	2:2 ✺
18.09.22	Siena - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Reggiana - Montevarchi	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTLL
- Carrarese Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Virtus Entella - Carrarese	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.22	Carrarese - Gubbio	0:2 ✺
24.09.22	Alessandria - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	3:1 ✺
14.09.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.02.22	Montevarchi - Carrarese	1:1
02.10.21	Carrarese - Montevarchi	2:2

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