Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 13

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri (Montevarchi)


	Montevarchi		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.3
	1.94	3	3.8
	1.97	3	3.6
	1.94	3.09	3.92
	2	3	3.6
	1.9	3.25	3.85	Watch
	1.98	3.15	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.17)	3.1 ↑ (2.82)	3.67 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevarchi
46.2%

Draw
29.2%

Vis Pesaro
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montevarchi's performance.

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Montevarchi - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Montevarchi will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Vis Pesaro will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montevarchi: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Vis Pesaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Montevarchi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Montevarchi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Montevarchi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
05.11.22	Sassari Torres - Montevarchi	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.11.22	Virtus Entella - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.22	Montevarchi - Cesena	0:3 ✺
23.10.22	Lucchese - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
19.10.22	Montevarchi - Virtus Entella	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
05.11.22	Vis Pesaro - Siena	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Reggiana - Vis Pesaro	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	Vis Pesaro - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
19.10.22	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Rimini - Vis Pesaro	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.22	Vis Pesaro - Montevarchi	2:0
28.11.21	Montevarchi - Vis Pesaro	1:1

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