Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 17

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256


	Vis Pesaro		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.4
	2.06	3.1	3.7
	2.17	2.94	3.91
	2.15	2.92	3.86	Watch
	2	3.1	3.5
	2.02	3.06	3.61	Watch
	2.06	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.02)	3.02 ↓ (3.23)	3.67 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
44.5%

Draw
30.4%

Lucchese
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.3%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27.7%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Vis Pesaro - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vukovic A. (G) 77. Afonso Peixoto 5. Tonucci D. 26. Coppola F. 3. Zoia R. 17. Paganini L. 30. Orellana C. 71. Tavernaro F. 7. Pucciarelli M. 11. Molina J. I. 34. Cannavo K.	1. Coletta J. (G) 5. Frison F. 13. Fazzi N. 6. Gasbarro A. 30. Gemignani A. 31. Catanese G. 8. Tumbarello G. 14. Quirini E. 29. Antoni E. 9. Magnaghi S. 70. Saporiti E.
Substitutes
4. Bove D. 15. Ceccacci M. 16. D'Innocenzo F. 10. Di Paola M. 23. Forte M. 21. Gambino G. 37. La Rosa A. 1. Munari M. (G) 9. Nicastro F. 8. Nina C. 20. Obi J. 90. Okoro A. 6. Palomba L. 14. Rabbini M. 99. Zocchi S. (G)	12. Allegrucci L. (G) 23. Botrini T. 26. Cartano R. 90. Costantino R. 7. Djibril M. 4. Dumbravanu D. 27. Gucher R. 38. Leone M. 11. Ndiaye B. 22. Palmisani L. (G) 18. Sasanelli L. 10. Selvini A. 21. Visconti E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
20', Quirini E. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Molina J. I. (Pen),
35', Catanese G. ↓, Djibril M. ↑,
36', Fazzi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Molina J. I. ⚽,
58', Tumbarello G. 🟨,
60', Tumbarello G. ↓, Cartano R. ↑,
60', Antoni E. ↓, Ndiaye B. ↑,
66', Magnaghi S. 🟨,
69', Molina J. I. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
72', Tavernaro F. ↓, Di Paola M. ↑,
75', Magnaghi S. ↓, Costantino R. ↑,
78', Zoia R. 🟨,
83', Orellana C. ↓, Ceccacci M. ↑,
89', Gasbarro A. 🟨,
90+3', Cannavo K. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vis Pesaro won 2.

Vis Pesaro is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lucchese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lucchese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vis Pesaro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vis Pesaro won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1.2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Vis Pesaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
22.11.24	Rimini - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
15.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Pianese - Vis Pesaro	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Pescara	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTLWW
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.24	Lucchese - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Ternana - Lucchese	5:0 ✺
09.11.24	Lucchese - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Campobasso - Lucchese	3:0 ✺
30.10.24	Virtus Entella - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
28.03.24	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	1:3
25.11.23	Lucchese - Vis Pesaro	1:2
19.02.23	Lucchese - Vis Pesaro	3:0
19.10.22	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	0:1
16.02.22	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	2:1
10.10.21	Lucchese - Vis Pesaro	1:2

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