Match Info

Date: 21 April 2021, Wednesday


	Montevideo City Torque		Bahia

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.2	3	Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.75
	2.35	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.34	3.1	2.8
	2.5	3.12	3.08
	2.45	3.25	2.8	Watch
	2.34	3.5	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.41)	3.21 ↑ (3.14)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
38.8%

Draw
28.8%

Bahia
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

20.1%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montevideo City Torque that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montevideo City Torque - Bahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Montevideo City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bahia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Montevideo City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bahia have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	0:2 ✺
07.04.21	Montevideo City Torque - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.03.21	Montevideo City Torque - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
24.03.21	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	4:1 ✺
20.03.21	River Plate Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWLT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
18.04.21	Bahia - Bahia de Feira	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.04.21	Bahia - CRB Maceio	4:0 ✺
10.04.21	Bahia - ABC	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
07.04.21	Bahia - Manaus	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
04.04.21	Bahia - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW

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