Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Belvedere (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Liverpool Montevideo		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.05
	2.43	3.2	3.26
	2.33	3.15	3.16	Watch
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.37	3.02	3.17	Watch
	2.21	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.18)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	3.09 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
40.3%

Draw
29.7%

Montevideo City Torque
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Liverpool Montevideo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Campana M. (G) 15. Laquidain S. 3. Strasorier S. 23. Castillo E. 27. Romero D. 20. Rabunal M. (C) 5. Garayalde N. 24. Amaro K. 7. Martinez F. 22. Zabala D. 9. Machado R.	1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 2. Romero F. 26. Silvera F. 5. Pizzichillo F. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 18. Lecchini R. 9. Rodriguez S. 10. Obregon E.
Substitutes
16. Acosta L. 32. Barrenechea F. 11. Bentancourt R. 1. Bernatene M. (G) 18. Cayetano A. 10. Degregorio R. M. 17. de Mello G. 34. Lewis K. 8. Mir M. 29. Olivera E.	15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 19. Guzman D. 14. Kociubinski B. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 3. Silva K. 27. Taran J.
Coaches
Speranza C.	Mendez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', 🟨,
28', 🟨,
38', Garayalde N. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez F. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
46', Aguero E. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
49', 🟨,
52', 🟨,
55', Lecchini R. ↓, Quintana J. ↑,
62', Amaro K. ↓, de Mello G. ↑,
71', Machado R. ↓, Bentancourt R. ↑,
72', Montes G. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
72', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Busquets E. ↑,
86', 🟨,
88', Zabala D. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
90+1', Siles P. 🟥,
90+7', Guzman D. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 4.

Liverpool has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Montevideo City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Liverpool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:13. (average 2.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Montevideo City	9	6	1	2	19:10	9	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.03.26	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.02.26	Cerro - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.02.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTTL
- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.03.26	Cerro Largo - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.02.26	Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Montevideo City Torque	0:4 ✺
16.02.26	Montevideo City Torque - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
07.09.25	Montevideo City Torque - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1
15.03.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	4:1
23.10.23	Montevideo City Torque - Liverpool Montevideo	2:3
18.03.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:0
19.09.22	Montevideo City Torque - Liverpool Montevideo	0:2
14.07.22	Montevideo City Torque - Liverpool Montevideo	2:3
16.04.22	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:0

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