The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruzeiro 40.6%
Draw 30.8%
Bahia 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
28.4%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
29.4%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
30%
10%
Cruzeiro - Bahia Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Bahia will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cruzeiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cassio (G) 23. Fagner 15. Fabricio Bruno 25. Villalba L. 6. Kaiki 29. Romero L. 16. Lucas Silva (C) 88. Christian 10. Matheus Pereira 94. Wanderson 19. Kaio Jorge
96. Ronaldo Strada (G) 13. Arias S. 83. Fred Lippert 21. Ramos S. 46. Luciano Juba 19. Caio Alexandre (C) 14. Erick 6. Jean Lucas 8. Cauly 16. Erick Pulga 12. Willian Jose
Substitutes
26. Diaz L. 99. Dinenno J. 7. Dudu 21. Eduardo 9. Gabriel Barbosa 34. Jonathan Jesus 41. Leo Aragao (G) 17. Marquinhos 35. Murilo Rhikman 75. Rodriguinho 5. Walace 12. William Furtado
7. Ademir 33. David Duarte 10. Everton Ribeiro 2. Gilberto 68. Jota 37. Kayky 22. Marcos Felipe (G) 26. Nicolas Acevedo 5. Rezende 9. Rodriguez L. 52. Ruan Pablo 77. Tiago
Coaches
Jardim L.
Mucke R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Kaio Jorge (Pen),
19', Ronaldo Strada ↓, Marcos Felipe ↑,
23', Erick 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 0, Romero L. ⚽, Lucas Silva (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fagner ↓, William Furtado ↑,
46', Erick ↓, Everton Ribeiro ↑,
46', Willian Jose ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
53', William Furtado 🟨,
60', Kaio Jorge 🟨,
61', Arias S. 🟨,
64', Wanderson 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Christian (A),
71', Arias S. ↓, Gilberto ↑,
71', Cauly ↓, Ademir ↑,
76', Christian 🟨,
76', 3 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Lucas Silva (A),
79', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
79', Christian ↓, Dudu ↑,
84', Wanderson ↓, Eduardo ↑,
90', Romero L. ↓, Walace ↑,
90+1', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 2.
Cruzeiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Bahia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cruzeiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Cruzeiro will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cruzeiro: Bolasie Y.
(Knock)
Dinenno J.
(Knee Injury)
Japa
(Thigh Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Bahia: Gabriel Xavier
(Calf Injury)
Iago Borduchi
(Injury)
Michel Araujo
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Silva
(Injury)
There are questionable in Bahia: Kanu
(Injury)
Last 18 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:18 (average 1.3:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:7 (average 1.6:0.8).
Brazil
China
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Cassio (G) 
Villalba L. 
Arias S. 
Nicolas Acevedo 
Jardim L. 
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