Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Feres J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Mexico	Disney+
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Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Montevideo City Torque		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.75	2.1	Watch
	3.20	3.30	2.05
	3	3.2	2.2
	3.24	3.44	2.28
	3.03	3.57	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.35	2.2
	3.03	3.2	2.16	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	3.39 ↑ (3.12)	2.18 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
30.3%

Draw
27.3%

Peñarol de Montevideo
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29.6%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Peñarol (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Peñarol (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torgnascioli F. (C) 17. Aguero E. 3. Silva K. 27. Taran J. 15. Busquets E. 20. Montes G. 8. Siles P. 23. Dure L. 30. Quintana J. 11. Da Silva N. 18. Lecchini R.	29. Aguerre W. (G) 6. Ferreira L. 34. Herrera N. 3. Lemos M. 7. Cabrera J. 8. Fernandez N. 5. Remedi E. 26. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 11. Jaime C. 19. Arezo M. 99. Hernandez A. (C)
Substitutes
7. Andrade L. 22. Gutierrez B. 24. Kagelmacher G. 16. Molina I. 10. Obregon E. 21. Perez N. 5. Pizzichillo F. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 9. Rodriguez S. 26. Silvera F.	28. Alegre I. 77. Angulo L. 36. Barboza B. 9. Batista F. 1. Britos S. (G) 13. Darias E. 93. Laxalt D. 27. Lucas Hernandez 30. Muhlethaler S. 32. Umpierrez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Remedi E. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Arezo M. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Obregon E. ⚽,
27', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
32', Olivera M. ↓, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↑,
32', Romero F. ↓, Alegre I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Guzman D. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
58', Cabrera J. ↓, Jesus Trindade ↑,
61', Jesus Trindade 🟨,
73', Fernandez N. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
73', Arezo M. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
79', Andrade L. ↓, Dure L. ↑,
87', Ferreira L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 1.

Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Peñarol will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Montevideo City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Montevideo City	9	6	1	2	19:10	9	19
3	Penarol	9	6	2	1	15:6	9	19

Last Results with these Odds

Peñarol de Montevideo - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.61%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
24.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Atenas de San Carlos	3:3 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.09.26	Central Español - Montevideo City Torque	1:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Cienciano	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Liverpool Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWWW
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.09.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
24.09.26	Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.09.26	Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguay Copa
26.08.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.02.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	3:1
09.11.25	Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2
17.05.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:1
Uruguay Copa
17.04.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:3
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.10.23	Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:3
03.07.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:0

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