Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Russia	Okko Prime
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Montevideo City Torque		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	5.25	Watch
	1.51	4.33	5.75
	1.5	3.85	5.9	Watch
	1.53	4.46	6.3
	1.52	4.47	5.79	Watch
	1.5	4.4	6.15
	1.53	4.55	5.59	Watch
	1.52	4.3	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.37)	4.36 ↓ (5.33)	5.79 ↓ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
62.1%

Draw
21.6%

Cienciano
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

17.7%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

16.8%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montevideo City Torque's form might have worsened.

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montevideo City Torque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Montevideo City Torque - Cienciano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Montevideo City will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 3. Silva K. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 26. Silvera F. 5. Pizzichillo F. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 10. Obregon E. 9. Rodriguez S. 7. Andrade L.	31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 26. Aguilar R. 4. Amondarain M. 3. Becerra K. 16. Martinich M. 88. Barreto G. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 7. Souza Espana C. 19. Succar M. 11. Bandiera N. 21. Garces C. (C)
Substitutes
12. Aguiar M. (G) 15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 2. Gutierrez B. 19. Guzman D. 18. Lecchini R. 16. Molina I. 21. Perez N. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 27. Taran J.	8. Aguirre G. 22. Cabello C. 39. Caparo H. 14. Cavero S. 1. Falcon G. (G) 18. La Torre D. 29. Robles A. 9. Romagnoli J. 25. Salazar R. 17. Sandoval R. 27. Yovera A.
Coaches
Mendez M.	Melgarejo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Barreto G. 🟨,
22', Silvera F. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Silva K. (A),
45+2', Garces C. 🟨,
45+4', Falcon G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Andrade L. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
53', Garces C. ↓, Romagnoli J. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Obregon E. (A),
60', Romagnoli J. 🟨,
71', Amondarain M. 🟨,
77', Barreto G. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Da Silva N. ⚽, Rodriguez S. (A),
90+5', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
90+8', Obregon E. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-2.

Montevideo City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cienciano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cienciano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Montevideo City is considered a favorite.

We predict that Montevideo City will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montevideo City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Montevideo City: 8.21%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Liverpool Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.09.26	Cienciano - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
01.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Danubio	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo City Torque	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWW
- Cienciano
Copa Sudamericana
10.09.26	Cienciano - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
04.09.26	Cajamarca - Cienciano	2:5 ✺
30.08.26	Cienciano - Cusco	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Sport Boys - Cienciano	5:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.26	Botafogo RJ - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
10.09.26	Cienciano - Montevideo City Torque	2:0

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