Match Info

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	Atlético Mineiro		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	1.42	4	7.5
	1.44	4.10	7.50
	1.43	3.85	7.8
	1.46	4.25	7.48
	1.45	4.25	7.7	Watch
	1.41	4.15	7.3
	1.5	4.37	8.1	Watch
	1.43	4.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)	4.15 ↓ (4.17)	7.57 ↓ (7.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
65%

Draw
22.6%

Montevideo City Torque
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

22.4%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

21.8%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Atlético Mineiro - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Atlético MG has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Montevideo City have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Montevideo City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlético MG has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this match, Atlético MG enters as the overwhelming favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Atletico-MG: 34.91% Montevideo City: 8.21%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
03.10.26	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Santos	5:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.09.26	Santos - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWWL
- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.10.26	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
24.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Atenas de San Carlos	3:3 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.09.26	Central Español - Montevideo City Torque	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLTW

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