The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montevideo City Torque 48%
Draw 27.3%
Danubio 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.5%
28.3%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
26.9%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Montevideo City Torque - Danubio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Montevideo City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Montevideo City holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Montevideo City has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:21 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montevideo City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Montevideo City
9
6
1
2
19:10
9
19
13
Danubio
9
1
4
4
4:10
-6
7
Last Results with these Odds
Montevideo City Torque - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 46.49%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Danubio - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.18%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.