Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Montevideo Wanderers		Boston River

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.20	3.30	2.90
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.29	3.44	3.01
	2.28	3.38	2.96	Watch
	2.2	3.35	2.95
	2.18	3.2	2.99	Watch
	2.21	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)	3.28 ↑ (3.15)	2.95 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
41.1%

Draw
27.9%

Boston River
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 0.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Wanderers has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:29 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wanderers against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:15 goals (averaging 1.2:1.7 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Wanderers	9	4	3	2	12:11	1	15
11	Boston River	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Boston River - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.53%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguay Copa
07.10.26	Cerrito - Montevideo Wanderers	2:3 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.10.26	Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
23.09.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerrito	1:3 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.09.26	Danubio - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWLT
- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.10.26	Boston River - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
23.09.26	Boston River - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.09.26	Boston River - Progreso	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
03.04.26	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	4:1
31.10.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River	2:2
02.05.25	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0
05.10.24	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	3:2
31.03.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River	0:2
12.11.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River	0:2
23.07.23	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1

Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide