Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 34

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	Montijo		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.3	1.55
	5.75	3.5	1.53
	5.5	3.6	1.62
	5.97	3.56	1.61
	5.69	3.59	1.6
	6	3.5	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↑ (4.98)	3.51 ↑ (3.16)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
15.8%

Draw
26.1%

Atlético Paso
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

28.8%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

28.1%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Paso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Montijo - Atlético Paso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Sissokho M. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Rodriguez Luis G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Montijo is Relegated to

Atlético Paso is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

Montijo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Paso is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Atlético Paso is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.04.24	Llerenense - Montijo	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	Montijo - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Montijo - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Cacereño - Montijo	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Montijo - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.04.24	Atlético Paso - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Cacereño - Atlético Paso	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Atlético Paso - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Ursaria - Atlético Paso	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Atlético Paso - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.01.24	Atlético Paso - Montijo	2:1
23.04.23	Atlético Paso - Montijo	2:0
11.12.22	Montijo - Atlético Paso	0:1

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