Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 29

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Montijo		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.4	1.57
	5.25	3.3	1.6
	5.5	3.5	1.63	Watch
	5.82	3.57	1.61
	5.82	3.57	1.6
	5.76	3.52	1.61
	5.4	3.4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.54 ↑ (3.7)	3.47 ↑ (3.15)	1.6 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
16.5%

Draw
26.4%

Talavera de la Reina
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

29%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montijo's form might have worsened.

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talavera de la Reina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montijo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montijo - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Lolo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 1, Runy ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Montijo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Talavera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.03.24	Ursaria - Montijo	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Montijo - UD San Fernando	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	CD Guadalajara - Montijo	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Montijo - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Montijo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWL
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina	4:0 ✺
10.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	UD San Fernando - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.11.23	Talavera de la Reina - Montijo	2:0

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