Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Montijo		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.8	1.44
	6.5	4	1.47	Watch
	7.76	3.92	1.45
	7.76	3.92	1.46
	6.92	3.93	1.47
	6.2	3.9	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.9 ↓ (9.25)	3.91 ↓ (4.43)	1.46 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
13.4%

Draw
23.6%

Gimnástica Segoviana
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.9%

20.6%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.4%

19.6%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástica Segoviana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica Segoviana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
35', 0 - 1, Chupo ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Plomer D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Montijo is Relegated to

Montijo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gimnástica Segoviana is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Gimnástica Segoviana have a series of home games.

In this match Gimnástica Segoviana is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.04.24	Cacereño - Montijo	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Montijo - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Ursaria - Montijo	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Montijo - UD San Fernando	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	CD Guadalajara - Montijo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.04.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Cacereño	5:0 ✺
27.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Montijo	4:1
26.02.23	Montijo - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2
09.10.22	Gimnástica Segoviana - Montijo	3:2

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