Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Ursaria		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.7	3.4
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.3	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.31	2.94	3.27
	2.32	2.94	3.27
	2.25	3.13	3.19
	2.2	2.95	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.03)	2.96 ↑ (2.89)	3.23 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
40.6%

Draw
31%

Atlético Paso
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

31.8%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

31.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Paso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Paso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ursaria - Atlético Paso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 1, Menudo ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ursaria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ursaria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Llerenense - Ursaria	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Ursaria - Montijo	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Ursaria - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLWL
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Atlético Paso - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Paso	3:1 ✺
17.03.24	Atlético Paso - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Atlético Paso	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Atlético Paso - Mensajero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Atlético Paso - Ursaria	2:0

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