Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 30

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Montijo		Melilla

	1	X	2
	3.8	3	1.9
	4.25	2.9	1.9
	4.51	3.01	1.91
	4.2	3.14	1.89
	3.8	3.15	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.32)	3.04 ↑ (2.7)	1.91 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
22.2%

Draw
30%

Melilla
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

33.6%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

32.8%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montijo's form might have worsened.

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montijo - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Montijo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melilla is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Montijo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Melilla is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.04.23	Navalcarnero - Montijo	5:0 ✺
02.04.23	Montijo - Alcorcón B	0:3 ✺
26.03.23	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Montijo	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Montijo - Leganés B	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Montijo - Coria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLTW
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.04.23	Melilla - Coria	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Don Benito - Melilla	0:2 ✺
26.03.23	Melilla - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Estepona - Melilla	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.12.22	Melilla - Montijo	1:0

Montijo - Melilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide