Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday


	Montijo		Tamaraceite

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.8
	1.75	3.85	3.75
	1.8	3.45	3.8
	1.83	3.8	3.31
	1.78	3.68	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.41)	3.64 ↓ (3.75)	3.74 ↓ (7.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
50.7%

Draw
25%

Tamaraceite
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

24.2%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

22.7%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montijo's form might have worsened.

Tamaraceite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tamaraceite's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montijo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tamaraceite, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	18.2%	36.4%

Montijo - Tamaraceite Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Montijo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tamaraceite will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montijo: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Tamaraceite is Relegated to

Montijo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tamaraceite has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Montijo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Montijo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.05.22	Mérida AD - Montijo	2:1 ✺
30.04.22	Don Benito - Montijo	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Montijo - Villanovense	2:1 ✺
16.04.22	Coria - Montijo	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	Montijo - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLT
- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.05.22	Tamaraceite - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
01.05.22	Coria - Tamaraceite	4:1 ✺
24.04.22	Tamaraceite - Cadiz CF B	0:2 ✺
17.04.22	Xerez Deportivo - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Tamaraceite - Vélez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.01.22	Tamaraceite - Montijo	2:1

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