Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 13

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Montpellier		Rodez

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.6	4.15
	1.93	3.73	3.35	Watch
	1.82	3.68	4.08	Watch
	1.79	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.96)	3.64 ↓ (3.65)	4.02 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
51.2%

Draw
25.6%

Rodez
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

25.4%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

24.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Montpellier - Rodez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Montpellier (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Montpellier will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Montpellier will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 3. El Hannach N. 15. Laporte J. 6. Jullien C. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 44. Chennahi T. 27. Omeragic B. (C) 18. Pays N. 11. Savanier T. 7. Mbuku N. 19. Mendy A.	1. Braat Q. (G) 14. Tourraine M. 5. Jolibois C. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 20. Ponti R. 26. Benchamma S. 6. Mendes J. 22. Joly O. 11. Arconte T. 10. Baaloudj M.
Substitutes
10. Fayad K. 77. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 1. Michel M. (G) 21. Mincarelli L. 23. Mouanga Y. 14. Orakpo V. 28. Sishuba A.	18. Balde I. 30. Crombez E. (G) 25. Galves N. 15. Jean-Lambert E. 9. Nagera K. 29. Tait F. 8. Younoussa W.
Coaches
Camara Z.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Mendes J. 🟨,
30', Pays N. 🟨,
36', Mendes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jullien C. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Savanier T. (Pen),
60', 2 - 0, Mendy A. ⚽, Savanier T. (A),
66', Baaloudj M. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
67', Tourraine M. ↓, Galves N. ↑,
67', Pays N. ↓, Orakpo V. ↑,
67', Chennahi T. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
72', Joly O. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
79', Benchamma S. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
79', Arconte T. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
86', Mbuku N. ↓, Mincarelli L. ↑,
86', Sainte-Luce T. ↓, Sishuba A. ↑,
86', El Hannach N. ↓, Mouanga Y. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

Montpellier is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Rodez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Montpellier might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A. (Inactive) Mouanga Y. (Injury) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rodez: Arconte T. (Yellow Cards) Corredor M. (Inactive) Issanchou Roubiou C. (Inactive) Margueron L. (Injury) Saka M. (Injury) Tebily H. (Injury) Trouillet A. (Ankle Injury) Vangi D. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Montpellier won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
28.10.25	Clermont - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Montpellier - Nancy	4:1 ✺
18.10.25	Dunkerque - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Montpellier - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Laval - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWLW
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
28.10.25	Rodez - Annecy	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Amiens - Rodez	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Rodez - Reims	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Red Star - Rodez	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Rodez - Pau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.07.25	Montpellier - Rodez	0:2
14.08.20	Rodez - Montpellier	1:3
Coupe De France
05.01.14	Rodez - Montpellier	0:2

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