Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 2

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Le Mans		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.75
	2.48	3.3	2.68
	2.54	3.31	2.92
	3.15	2.17	3.44	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.7
	2.55	3.42	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.59)	3.16 ↓ (3.45)	2.83 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Le Mans
36.8%

Draw
29.9%

Montpellier
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.4%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montpellier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Le Mans - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Montpellier will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Montpellier (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 2 - 40%). Montpellier (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Kocik N. (G) 21. Eyoum T. 17. Yohou S. 5. Voyer H. 6. Quarshie E. (C) 12. Ribelin A. 10. Vercruysse J. 24. Robin M. 22. Calodat L. 25. Gueye D. 9. Rabillard A.	31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 29. Tchato E. 15. Laporte J. 6. Jullien C. 3. El Hannach N. 23. Mouanga Y. 27. Omeragic B. (C) 7. Mbuku N. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 70. Coulibaly T. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
11. Abanda L. 4. Cisse A. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 8. Lauray A. 23. Luvambo T. 26. Oggad B. 27. Rossignol M.	44. Chennahi T. 50. Dzodic V. (G) 5. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 21. Mincarelli L. 24. Ndiaye J. 18. Pays N. 11. Savanier T.
Coaches
Videira P.	Camara Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Sainte-Luce T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Coulibaly T. ⚽, Tchato E. (A),
57', Tchato E. 🟨,
65', Rabillard A. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
65', Robin M. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
65', Quarshie E. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
68', Jullien C. ↓, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↑,
68', Coulibaly T. ↓, Mincarelli L. ↑,
71', Calodat L. 🟨,
73', Calodat L. ↓, Abanda L. ↑,
78', Sainte-Luce T. ↓, Ndiaye J. ↑,
80', Ribelin A. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
87', Vercruysse J. 🟨,
88', Omeragic B. ↓, Chennahi T. ↑,
90+5', Lauray A. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Gueye D. ⚽, Oggad B. (A),
90+9', 1 - 2, Ndiaye J. ⚽, Mendy A. (A),

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Le Mans: Colas E. (Back Injury) Harhouz W. (Red Card) Oggad B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Montpellier: Mincarelli L. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 2
09.08.25	Guingamp - Le Mans	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Le Mans - Caen	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Quevilly - Le Mans	2:4 ✺
19.07.25	Le Havre - Le Mans	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 3
16.05.25	Le Mans - Versailles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TWWWW
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
09.08.25	Montpellier - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Montpellier - Rodez	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.25	Nantes - Montpellier	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Montpellier - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4 ✺
04.05.25	Brest - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Upcoming Matches