Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 2

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Links Park (Montrose)


	Montrose		Forfar Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.1
	1.93	3.3	3.25
	2	3.55	3.3
	2.02	3.68	3.25
	1.70	3.48	4.87	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.97	3.46	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.81)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	3.54 (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montrose
47.6%

Draw
26.5%

Forfar Athletic
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

25%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

27%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montrose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Forfar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montrose, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Montrose - Forfar Athletic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montrose (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Forfar (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Montrose (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Montrose (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Forfar (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, Machado M. ⚽, Lyons B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 0.

Montrose is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Forfar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Montrose could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Montrose won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
23.08.25	Montrose - Inverness	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Cove Rangers - Montrose	3:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.08.25	Montrose - Dundee 2	5:2 ✺
Scottish League One
09.08.25	Montrose - Kelty Hearts	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Hamilton Academical - Montrose	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLL
- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two
23.08.25	Spartans - Forfar Athletic	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Forfar Athletic - Stirling Albion	4:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.08.25	Forfar Athletic - Hibernian 2	1:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
09.08.25	Clyde - Forfar Athletic	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.06.25	Forfar Athletic - Montrose	1:1
Scottish League Cup
18.07.23	Montrose - Forfar Athletic	1:2
Club Friendly
30.06.23	Montrose - Forfar Athletic	1:3
Scottish League Cup
13.07.21	Forfar Athletic - Montrose	1:0 penalties
Scottish League One
02.01.21	Montrose - Forfar Athletic	0:0
31.10.20	Forfar Athletic - Montrose	2:3
28.12.19	Forfar Athletic - Montrose	2:3

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